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Blogroll | Top

List of posts by date of publication | Top

  1. Survival analysis with sklearn, glmnet, keras, pytorch, lightgbm, xgboost, nnetsauce, mlsauce Part 2 Apr 28, 2026
  2. Any Sklearn Regressor as a Survival Model — Does It Actually Work? Benchmarking vs Established Packages Apr 26, 2026
  3. Conformal Optimization Beats Bayesian Optimization, Optuna and Random Search on 72 classification Datasets Apr 19, 2026
  4. `mlS3` — A Unified S3 Machine Learning Interface in R Apr 12, 2026
  5. One interface, (Almost) Every Classifier: unifiedml v0.2.1 Apr 4, 2026
  6. Techtonique dot net is down until further notice Apr 1, 2026
  7. Explaining Time-Series Forecasts with Sensitivity Analysis (ahead::dynrmf and external regressors) Mar 29, 2026
  8. Python version of 'Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk Pt.3' Mar 22, 2026
  9. Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk Pt.3 Mar 16, 2026
  10. Explaining Time-Series Forecasts with Exact Shapley Values (ahead::dynrmf with external regressors applied to scenarios) Mar 8, 2026
  11. My Presentation at Risk 2026: Lightweight Transfer Learning for Financial Forecasting Mar 1, 2026
  12. nnetsauce with and without jax for GPU acceleration Feb 23, 2026
  13. Understanding Boosted Configuration Networks (combined neural networks and boosting): An Intuitive Guide Through Their Hyperparameters Feb 16, 2026
  14. R version of Python package survivalist, for model-agnostic survival analysis Feb 9, 2026
  15. Presenting Lightweight Transfer Learning for Financial Forecasting (Risk 2026) Feb 4, 2026
  16. Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk Feb 1, 2026
  17. Enhancing Time Series Forecasting (ahead::ridge2f) with Attention-Based Context Vectors (ahead::contextridge2f) Jan 31, 2026
  18. Overfitting and scaling (on GPU T4) tests on nnetsauce.CustomRegressor Jan 29, 2026
  19. Beyond Cross-validation: Hyperparameter Optimization via Generalization Gap Modeling Jan 25, 2026
  20. GPopt for Machine Learning (hyperparameters' tuning) Jan 21, 2026
  21. rtopy: an R to Python bridge -- novelties Jan 8, 2026
  22. Python examples for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation' Jan 3, 2026
  23. Forecasting benchmark: Dynrmf (a new serious competitor in town) vs Theta Method on M-Competitions and Tourism competitition Jan 1, 2026
  24. Finally figured out a way to port python packages to R using uv and reticulate: example with nnetsauce Dec 17, 2025
  25. Overfitting Random Fourier Features: Universal Approximation Property Dec 13, 2025
  26. Counterfactual Scenario Analysis with ahead::ridge2f Dec 11, 2025
  27. Zero-Shot Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with TabPFN 2.5 and nnetsauce Dec 10, 2025
  28. ARIMA Pricing: Semi-Parametric Market price of risk for Risk-Neutral Pricing (code + preprint) Dec 7, 2025
  29. Analyzing Paper Reviews with LLMs: I Used ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, Gemini, and Claude (and you should too + publish the analysis) Dec 3, 2025
  30. tisthemachinelearner: New Workflow with uv for R Integration of scikit-learn Dec 1, 2025
  31. (ICYMI) RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv Nov 21, 2025
  32. unifiedml: A Unified Machine Learning Interface for R, is now on CRAN + Discussion about AI replacing humans Nov 16, 2025
  33. Context-aware Theta forecasting Method: Extending Classical Time Series Forecasting with Machine Learning Nov 13, 2025
  34. unifiedml in R: A Unified Machine Learning Interface Nov 5, 2025
  35. Deterministic Shift Adjustment in Arbitrage-Free Pricing (historical to risk-neutral short rates) Oct 28, 2025
  36. New instantaneous short rates models with their deterministic shift adjustment, for historical and risk-neutral simulation Oct 27, 2025
  37. RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv Oct 19, 2025
  38. GAN-like Synthetic Data Generation Examples (on univariate, multivariate distributions, digits recognition, Fashion-MNIST, stock returns, and Olivetti faces) with DistroSimulator Oct 19, 2025
  39. R port of llama2.c Oct 9, 2025
  40. Native uncertainty quantification for time series with NGBoost Oct 8, 2025
  41. NGBoost (Natural Gradient Boosting) for Regression, Classification, Time Series forecasting and Reserving Oct 6, 2025
  42. Real-time pricing with a pretrained probabilistic stock return model Oct 1, 2025
  43. Combining any model with GARCH(1,1) for probabilistic stock forecasting Sep 23, 2025
  44. Generating Synthetic Data with R-vine Copulas using esgtoolkit in R Sep 21, 2025
  45. Reimagining Equity Solvency Capital Requirement Approximation (one of my Master's Thesis subjects): From Bilinear Interpolation to Probabilistic Machine Learning Sep 16, 2025
  46. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns Pt.2: synthetic data generation Sep 9, 2025
  47. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns Sep 8, 2025
  48. I'm supposed to present 'Conformal Predictive Simulations for Univariate Time Series' at COPA CONFERENCE 2025 in London... Sep 4, 2025
  49. external regressors in ahead::dynrmf's interface for Machine learning forecasting Sep 1, 2025
  50. Another interesting decision, now for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation' Aug 20, 2025
  51. Boosting any randomized based learner for regression, classification and univariate/multivariate time series forcasting Jul 26, 2025
  52. New nnetsauce version with CustomBackPropRegressor (CustomRegressor with Backpropagation) and ElasticNet2Regressor (Ridge2 with ElasticNet regularization) Jul 15, 2025
  53. mlsauce (home to a model-agnostic gradient boosting algorithm) can now be installed from PyPI. Jul 10, 2025
  54. A user-friendly graphical interface to techtonique dot net's API (will eventually contain graphics). Jul 8, 2025
  55. Calling =TECHTO_MLCLASSIFICATION for Machine Learning supervised CLASSIFICATION in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 7, 2025
  56. Calling =TECHTO_MLREGRESSION for Machine Learning supervised regression in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 6, 2025
  57. Calling =TECHTO_RESERVING and =TECHTO_MLRESERVING for claims triangle reserving in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 5, 2025
  58. Calling =TECHTO_SURVIVAL for Survival Analysis in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 4, 2025
  59. Calling =TECHTO_SIMULATION for Stochastic Simulation in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 3, 2025
  60. Calling =TECHTO_FORECAST for forecasting in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting Jul 2, 2025
  61. Random Vector Functional Link (RVFL) artificial neural network with 2 regularization parameters successfully used for forecasting/synthetic simulation in professional settings: Extensions (including Bayesian) Jul 1, 2025
  62. R version of 'Backpropagating quasi-randomized neural networks' Jun 24, 2025
  63. Backpropagating quasi-randomized neural networks Jun 23, 2025
  64. Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging any statistical model for volatility forecasting Jun 21, 2025
  65. Stacked generalization (Machine Learning model stacking) + conformal prediction for forecasting with ahead::mlf Jun 18, 2025
  66. An Overfitting dilemma: XGBoost Default Hyperparameters vs GenericBooster + LinearRegression Default Hyperparameters Jun 14, 2025
  67. Programming language-agnostic reserving using RidgeCV, LightGBM, XGBoost, and ExtraTrees Machine Learning models Jun 13, 2025
  68. Free R, Python and SQL editors in techtonique dot net Jun 9, 2025
  69. Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation Jun 7, 2025
  70. scikit-learn, glmnet, xgboost, lightgbm, pytorch, keras, nnetsauce in probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress) Jun 6, 2025
  71. R version of Probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress) Jun 5, 2025
  72. Probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress) Jun 4, 2025
  73. Python version of Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging model-agnostic Quasi-Randomized networks and conformal prediction for nonparametric probabilistic stock forecasting (ML-ARCH) Jun 3, 2025
  74. Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging model-agnostic Machine Learning and conformal prediction for nonparametric probabilistic stock forecasting (ML-ARCH) Jun 2, 2025
  75. Permutations and SHAPley values for feature importance in techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line) Jun 1, 2025
  76. Which patient is going to survive longer? Another guide to using techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line) for survival analysis May 31, 2025
  77. A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API and rush for simulating and plotting Stochastic Scenarios May 30, 2025
  78. Simulating Stochastic Scenarios with Diffusion Models: A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API for the purpose May 29, 2025
  79. Will my apartment in 5th avenue be overpriced or not? Harnessing the power of www.techtonique.net (+ xgboost, lightgbm, catboost) to find out May 28, 2025
  80. How long must I wait until something happens: A Comprehensive Guide to Survival Analysis via an API May 27, 2025
  81. Harnessing the Power of techtonique.net: A Comprehensive Guide to Machine Learning Classification via an API May 26, 2025
  82. Quantile regression with any regressor -- Examples with RandomForestRegressor, RidgeCV, KNeighborsRegressor May 20, 2025
  83. Survival stacking: survival analysis translated as supervised classification in R and Python May 5, 2025
  84. 'Bayesian' optimization of hyperparameters in a R machine learning model using the bayesianrvfl package Apr 25, 2025
  85. A lightweight interface to scikit-learn in R: Bayesian and Conformal prediction Apr 21, 2025
  86. A lightweight interface to scikit-learn in R Pt.2: probabilistic time series forecasting in conjunction with ahead::dynrmf Apr 20, 2025
  87. Extending the Theta forecasting method to GLMs, GAMs, GLMBOOST and attention: benchmarking on Tourism, M1, M3 and M4 competition data sets (28000 series) Apr 14, 2025
  88. Extending the Theta forecasting method to GLMs and attention Apr 8, 2025
  89. Nonlinear conformalized Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with R package 'rvfl' (and other models) Mar 31, 2025
  90. Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (predictive simulations) in Microsoft Excel using Python, xlwings lite and www.techtonique.net Mar 28, 2025
  91. Conformalize (improved prediction intervals and simulations) any R Machine Learning model with misc::conformalize Mar 25, 2025
  92. My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance Mar 19, 2025
  93. Interpretable probabilistic kernel ridge regression using Matérn 3/2 kernels Mar 16, 2025
  94. (News from) Probabilistic Forecasting of univariate and multivariate Time Series using Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks (Ridge2) and Conformal Prediction Mar 9, 2025
  95. Word-Online: re-creating Karpathy's char-RNN (with supervised linear online learning of word embeddings) for text completion Mar 8, 2025
  96. CRAN-like repository for most recent releases of Techtonique's R packages Mar 2, 2025
  97. Presenting 'Online Probabilistic Estimation of Carbon Beta and Carbon Shapley Values for Financial and Climate Risk' at Institut Louis Bachelier Feb 27, 2025
  98. Web app with DeepSeek R1 and Hugging Face API for chatting Feb 23, 2025
  99. tisthemachinelearner: A Lightweight interface to scikit-learn with 2 classes, Classifier and Regressor (in Python and R) Feb 17, 2025
  100. R version of survivalist: Probabilistic model-agnostic survival analysis using scikit-learn, xgboost, lightgbm (and conformal prediction) Feb 12, 2025
  101. Model-agnostic global Survival Prediction of Patients with Myeloid Leukemia in QRT/Gustave Roussy Challenge (challengedata.ens.fr): Python's survivalist Quickstart Feb 10, 2025
  102. A simple test of the martingale hypothesis in esgtoolkit Feb 3, 2025
  103. Command Line Interface (CLI) for techtonique.net's API Jan 31, 2025
  104. Gradient-Boosting and Boostrap aggregating anything (alert: high performance): Part5, easier install and Rust backend Jan 27, 2025
  105. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on? Part2: 1311 time series from the Tourism competition Jan 20, 2025
  106. Techtonique is out! (with a tutorial in various programming languages and formats) Jan 14, 2025
  107. Univariate and Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting with nnetsauce and TabPFN Jan 14, 2025
  108. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on? Jan 5, 2025
  109. Python and Interactive dashboard version of Stock price forecasting with Deep Learning: throwing power at the problem (and why it won't make you rich) Dec 31, 2024
  110. Stock price forecasting with Deep Learning: throwing power at the problem (and why it won't make you rich) Dec 29, 2024
  111. No-code Machine Learning Cross-validation and Interpretability in techtonique.net Dec 23, 2024
  112. survivalist: Probabilistic model-agnostic survival analysis using scikit-learn, glmnet, xgboost, lightgbm, pytorch, keras, nnetsauce and mlsauce Dec 15, 2024
  113. Model-agnostic 'Bayesian' optimization (for hyperparameter tuning) using conformalized surrogates in GPopt Dec 9, 2024
  114. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS Pt.2: Generic Gradient Boosting Dec 1, 2024
  115. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS Nov 24, 2024
  116. Unified interface and conformal prediction (calibrated prediction intervals) for R package forecast (and 'affiliates') Nov 23, 2024
  117. GLMNet in Python: Generalized Linear Models Nov 18, 2024
  118. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part4, Time series forecasting Nov 10, 2024
  119. Predictive scenarios simulation in R, Python and Excel using Techtonique API Nov 3, 2024
  120. Chat with your tabular data in www.techtonique.net Oct 30, 2024
  121. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part3, Histogram-based boosting Oct 28, 2024
  122. R editor and SQL console (in addition to Python editors) in www.techtonique.net Oct 21, 2024
  123. R and Python consoles + JupyterLite in www.techtonique.net Oct 15, 2024
  124. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part2, R version Oct 14, 2024
  125. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance) Oct 6, 2024
  126. Benchmarking 30 statistical/Machine Learning models on the VN1 Forecasting -- Accuracy challenge Oct 4, 2024
  127. Automated random variable distribution inference using Kullback-Leibler divergence and simulating best-fitting distribution Oct 2, 2024
  128. Forecasting in Excel using Techtonique's Machine Learning APIs under the hood Sep 30, 2024
  129. Techtonique web app for data-driven decisions using Mathematics, Statistics, Machine Learning, and Data Visualization Sep 25, 2024
  130. Parallel for loops (Map or Reduce) + New versions of nnetsauce and ahead Sep 16, 2024
  131. Adaptive (online/streaming) learning with uncertainty quantification using Polyak averaging in learningmachine Sep 10, 2024
  132. New versions of nnetsauce and ahead Sep 9, 2024
  133. Prediction sets and prediction intervals for conformalized Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting Sep 2, 2024
  134. Quick/automated R package development workflow (assuming you're using macOS or Linux) Part2 Aug 30, 2024
  135. R package development workflow (assuming you're using macOS or Linux) Aug 27, 2024
  136. A new method for deriving a nonparametric confidence interval for the mean Aug 26, 2024
  137. Conformalized adaptive (online/streaming) learning using learningmachine in Python and R Aug 19, 2024
  138. Bayesian (nonlinear) adaptive learning Aug 12, 2024
  139. Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting Aug 5, 2024
  140. Copulas for uncertainty quantification in time series forecasting Jul 28, 2024
  141. Forecasting uncertainty: sequential split conformal prediction + Block bootstrap (web app) Jul 22, 2024
  142. learningmachine for Python (new version) Jul 15, 2024
  143. learningmachine v2.0.0: Machine Learning with explanations and uncertainty quantification Jul 8, 2024
  144. My presentation at ISF 2024 conference (slides with nnetsauce probabilistic forecasting news) Jul 3, 2024
  145. 10 uncertainty quantification methods in nnetsauce forecasting Jul 1, 2024
  146. Forecasting with XGBoost embedded in Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks Jun 24, 2024
  147. Forecasting Monthly Airline Passenger Numbers with Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks Jun 17, 2024
  148. Automated hyperparameter tuning using any conformalized surrogate Jun 9, 2024
  149. Recognizing handwritten digits with Ridge2Classifier Jun 3, 2024
  150. Forecasting the Economy May 27, 2024
  151. A detailed introduction to Deep Quasi-Randomized 'neural' networks May 19, 2024
  152. Probability of receiving a loan; using learningmachine May 12, 2024
  153. mlsauce's `v0.18.2`: various examples and benchmarks with dimension reduction May 6, 2024
  154. mlsauce's `v0.17.0`: boosting with Elastic Net, polynomials and heterogeneity in explanatory variables Apr 29, 2024
  155. mlsauce's `v0.13.0`: taking into account inputs heterogeneity through clustering Apr 21, 2024
  156. mlsauce's `v0.12.0`: prediction intervals for LSBoostRegressor Apr 15, 2024
  157. Conformalized predictive simulations for univariate time series on more than 250 data sets Apr 7, 2024
  158. learningmachine v1.1.2: for Python Apr 1, 2024
  159. learningmachine v1.0.0: prediction intervals around the probability of the event 'a tumor being malignant' Mar 25, 2024
  160. Bayesian inference and conformal prediction (prediction intervals) in nnetsauce v0.18.1 Mar 18, 2024
  161. Multiple examples of Machine Learning forecasting with ahead Mar 11, 2024
  162. rtopy (v0.1.1): calling R functions in Python Mar 4, 2024
  163. ahead forecasting (v0.10.0): fast time series model calibration and Python plots Feb 26, 2024
  164. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part3: how many times do couples cheat on each other? Feb 19, 2024
  165. nnetsauce's introduction as of 2024-02-11 (new version 0.17.0) Feb 11, 2024
  166. Tuning Machine Learning models with GPopt's new version Part 2 Feb 5, 2024
  167. Tuning Machine Learning models with GPopt's new version Jan 29, 2024
  168. Subsampling continuous and discrete response variables Jan 22, 2024
  169. DeepMTS, a Deep Learning Model for Multivariate Time Series Jan 15, 2024
  170. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep) Pt.2: there are > 90 classifiers in nnetsauce Jan 8, 2024
  171. learningmachine: prediction intervals for conformalized Kernel ridge regression and Random Forest Jan 1, 2024
  172. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part2: how many times do couples cheat on each other? Descriptive analytics, interpretability and prediction intervals using conformal prediction Dec 25, 2023
  173. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit (Part2) Dec 18, 2023
  174. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit Dec 11, 2023
  175. Julia packaging at the command line Dec 4, 2023
  176. Quasi-randomized nnetworks in Julia, Python and R Nov 27, 2023
  177. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Nov 20, 2023
  178. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep) Nov 12, 2023
  179. mlsauce version 0.8.10: Statistical/Machine Learning with Python and R Nov 5, 2023
  180. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks) Pt.2: multivariate time series forecasting Oct 29, 2023
  181. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks) Oct 22, 2023
  182. Version v0.14.0 of nnetsauce for R and Python Oct 16, 2023
  183. A diffusion model: G2++ Oct 9, 2023
  184. Diffusion models in ESGtoolkit + announcements Oct 2, 2023
  185. An infinity of time series forecasting models in nnetsauce (Part 2 with uncertainty quantification) Sep 25, 2023
  186. (News from) forecasting in Python with ahead (progress bars and plots) Sep 18, 2023
  187. Forecasting in Python with ahead Sep 11, 2023
  188. Risk-neutralize simulations Sep 4, 2023
  189. Comparing cross-validation results using crossval_ml and boxplots Aug 27, 2023
  190. Reminder Apr 30, 2023
  191. Did you ask ChatGPT about who you are? Apr 16, 2023
  192. A new version of nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized 'neural' networks) Apr 2, 2023
  193. Simple interfaces to the forecasting API Nov 23, 2022
  194. A web application for forecasting in Python, R, Ruby, C#, JavaScript, PHP, Go, Rust, Java, MATLAB, etc. Nov 2, 2022
  195. Prediction intervals (not only) for Boosted Configuration Networks in Python Oct 5, 2022
  196. Boosted Configuration (neural) Networks Pt. 2 Sep 3, 2022
  197. Boosted Configuration (_neural_) Networks for classification Jul 21, 2022
  198. A Machine Learning workflow using Techtonique Jun 6, 2022
  199. Super Mario Bros © in the browser using PyScript May 8, 2022
  200. News from ESGtoolkit, ycinterextra, and nnetsauce Apr 4, 2022
  201. Explaining a Keras _neural_ network predictions with the-teller Mar 11, 2022
  202. New version of nnetsauce -- various quasi-randomized networks Feb 12, 2022
  203. A dashboard illustrating bivariate time series forecasting with `ahead` Jan 14, 2022
  204. Hundreds of Statistical/Machine Learning models for univariate time series, using ahead, ranger, xgboost, and caret Dec 20, 2021
  205. Forecasting with `ahead` (Python version) Dec 13, 2021
  206. Tuning and interpreting LSBoost Nov 15, 2021
  207. Time series cross-validation using `crossvalidation` (Part 2) Nov 7, 2021
  208. Fast and scalable forecasting with ahead::ridge2f Oct 31, 2021
  209. Automatic Forecasting with `ahead::dynrmf` and Ridge regression Oct 22, 2021
  210. Forecasting with `ahead` Oct 15, 2021
  211. Classification using linear regression Sep 26, 2021
  212. `crossvalidation` and random search for calibrating support vector machines Aug 6, 2021
  213. parallel grid search cross-validation using `crossvalidation` Jul 31, 2021
  214. `crossvalidation` on R-universe, plus a classification example Jul 23, 2021
  215. Documentation and source code for GPopt, a package for Bayesian optimization Jul 2, 2021
  216. Hyperparameters tuning with GPopt Jun 11, 2021
  217. A forecasting tool (API) with examples in curl, R, Python May 28, 2021
  218. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt Part 2 (save and resume) Apr 30, 2021
  219. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt Apr 16, 2021
  220. Compatibility of nnetsauce and mlsauce with scikit-learn Mar 26, 2021
  221. Explaining xgboost predictions with the teller Mar 12, 2021
  222. An infinity of time series models in nnetsauce Mar 6, 2021
  223. New activation functions in mlsauce's LSBoost Feb 12, 2021
  224. 2020 recap, Gradient Boosting, Generalized Linear Models, AdaOpt with nnetsauce and mlsauce Dec 29, 2020
  225. A deeper learning architecture in nnetsauce Dec 18, 2020
  226. Classify penguins with nnetsauce's MultitaskClassifier Dec 11, 2020
  227. Bayesian forecasting for uni/multivariate time series Dec 4, 2020
  228. Generalized nonlinear models in nnetsauce Nov 28, 2020
  229. Boosting nonlinear penalized least squares Nov 21, 2020
  230. Statistical/Machine Learning explainability using Kernel Ridge Regression surrogates Nov 6, 2020
  231. NEWS Oct 30, 2020
  232. A glimpse into my PhD journey Oct 23, 2020
  233. Submitting R package to CRAN Oct 16, 2020
  234. Simulation of dependent variables in ESGtoolkit Oct 9, 2020
  235. Forecasting lung disease progression Oct 2, 2020
  236. New nnetsauce Sep 25, 2020
  237. Technical documentation Sep 18, 2020
  238. A new version of nnetsauce, and a new Techtonique website Sep 11, 2020
  239. Back next week, and a few announcements Sep 4, 2020
  240. Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks Pt2 (the Lasso) Jul 31, 2020
  241. LSBoost: Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks (with examples in R and Python) Jul 24, 2020
  242. nnetsauce version 0.5.0, randomized neural networks on GPU Jul 17, 2020
  243. Maximizing your tip as a waiter (Part 2) Jul 10, 2020
  244. New version of mlsauce, with Gradient Boosted randomized networks and stump decision trees Jul 3, 2020
  245. Announcements Jun 26, 2020
  246. Parallel AdaOpt classification Jun 19, 2020
  247. Comments section and other news Jun 12, 2020
  248. Maximizing your tip as a waiter Jun 5, 2020
  249. AdaOpt classification on MNIST handwritten digits (without preprocessing) May 29, 2020
  250. AdaOpt (a probabilistic classifier based on a mix of multivariable optimization and nearest neighbors) for R May 22, 2020
  251. AdaOpt May 15, 2020
  252. Custom errors for cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml May 8, 2020
  253. Documentation+Pypi for the `teller`, a model-agnostic tool for Machine Learning explainability May 1, 2020
  254. Encoding your categorical variables based on the response variable and correlations Apr 24, 2020
  255. Linear model, xgboost and randomForest cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml Apr 17, 2020
  256. Grid search cross-validation using crossval Apr 10, 2020
  257. Documentation for the querier, a query language for Data Frames Apr 3, 2020
  258. Time series cross-validation using crossval Mar 27, 2020
  259. On model specification, identification, degrees of freedom and regularization Mar 20, 2020
  260. Import data into the querier (now on Pypi), a query language for Data Frames Mar 13, 2020
  261. R notebooks for nnetsauce Mar 6, 2020
  262. Version 0.4.0 of nnetsauce, with fruits and breast cancer classification Feb 28, 2020
  263. Create a specific feed in your Jekyll blog Feb 21, 2020
  264. Git/Github for contributing to package development Feb 14, 2020
  265. Feedback forms for contributing Feb 7, 2020
  266. nnetsauce for R Jan 31, 2020
  267. A new version of nnetsauce (v0.3.1) Jan 24, 2020
  268. ESGtoolkit, a tool for Monte Carlo simulation (v0.2.0) Jan 17, 2020
  269. Search bar, new year 2020 Jan 10, 2020
  270. 2019 Recap, the nnetsauce, the teller and the querier Dec 20, 2019
  271. Understanding model interactions with the `teller` Dec 13, 2019
  272. Using the `teller` on a classifier Dec 6, 2019
  273. Benchmarking the querier's verbs Nov 29, 2019
  274. Composing the querier's verbs for data wrangling Nov 22, 2019
  275. Comparing and explaining model predictions with the teller Nov 15, 2019
  276. Tests for the significance of marginal effects in the teller Nov 8, 2019
  277. Introducing the teller Nov 1, 2019
  278. Introducing the querier Oct 25, 2019
  279. Prediction intervals for nnetsauce models Oct 18, 2019
  280. Using R in Python for statistical learning/data science Oct 11, 2019
  281. Model calibration with `crossval` Oct 4, 2019
  282. Bagging in the nnetsauce Sep 25, 2019
  283. Adaboost learning with nnetsauce Sep 18, 2019
  284. Change in blog's presentation Sep 4, 2019
  285. nnetsauce on Pypi Jun 5, 2019
  286. More nnetsauce (examples of use) May 9, 2019
  287. nnetsauce Mar 13, 2019
  288. crossval Mar 13, 2019
  289. test Mar 10, 2019

Categories | Top

Forecasting

  1. ARIMA Pricing: Semi-Parametric Market price of risk for Risk-Neutral Pricing (code + preprint)
  2. My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance
  3. Presenting 'Online Probabilistic Estimation of Carbon Beta and Carbon Shapley Values for Financial and Climate Risk' at Institut Louis Bachelier
  4. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on? Part2: 1311 time series from the Tourism competition
  5. Techtonique is out! (with a tutorial in various programming languages and formats)
  6. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on?
  7. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS
  8. My presentation at ISF 2024 conference (slides with nnetsauce probabilistic forecasting news)
  9. 10 uncertainty quantification methods in nnetsauce forecasting
  10. Forecasting with XGBoost embedded in Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  11. Forecasting Monthly Airline Passenger Numbers with Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  12. DeepMTS, a Deep Learning Model for Multivariate Time Series
  13. Version v0.14.0 of nnetsauce for R and Python
  14. An infinity of time series forecasting models in nnetsauce (Part 2 with uncertainty quantification)
  15. (News from) forecasting in Python with ahead (progress bars and plots)
  16. Forecasting in Python with ahead
  17. Simple interfaces to the forecasting API
  18. A web application for forecasting in Python, R, Ruby, C#, JavaScript, PHP, Go, Rust, Java, MATLAB, etc.
  19. A dashboard illustrating bivariate time series forecasting with `ahead`
  20. Hundreds of Statistical/Machine Learning models for univariate time series, using ahead, ranger, xgboost, and caret

Misc

  1. Analyzing Paper Reviews with LLMs: I Used ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, Gemini, and Claude (and you should too + publish the analysis)
  2. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part2: how many times do couples cheat on each other? Descriptive analytics, interpretability and prediction intervals using conformal prediction
  3. Julia packaging at the command line
  4. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips
  5. Risk-neutralize simulations
  6. Comparing cross-validation results using crossval_ml and boxplots
  7. Reminder
  8. Did you ask ChatGPT about who you are?
  9. A web application for forecasting in Python, R, Ruby, C#, JavaScript, PHP, Go, Rust, Java, MATLAB, etc.
  10. Boosted Configuration (_neural_) Networks for classification
  11. Super Mario Bros © in the browser using PyScript
  12. News from ESGtoolkit, ycinterextra, and nnetsauce
  13. Time series cross-validation using `crossvalidation` (Part 2)
  14. Fast and scalable forecasting with ahead::ridge2f
  15. Automatic Forecasting with `ahead::dynrmf` and Ridge regression
  16. Forecasting with `ahead`
  17. Documentation and source code for GPopt, a package for Bayesian optimization
  18. Hyperparameters tuning with GPopt
  19. A forecasting tool (API) with examples in curl, R, Python
  20. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt Part 2 (save and resume)
  21. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt
  22. 2020 recap, Gradient Boosting, Generalized Linear Models, AdaOpt with nnetsauce and mlsauce
  23. Statistical/Machine Learning explainability using Kernel Ridge Regression surrogates
  24. NEWS
  25. A glimpse into my PhD journey
  26. Forecasting lung disease progression
  27. New nnetsauce
  28. Technical documentation
  29. A new version of nnetsauce, and a new Techtonique website
  30. Back next week, and a few announcements
  31. Maximizing your tip as a waiter (Part 2)
  32. New version of mlsauce, with Gradient Boosted randomized networks and stump decision trees
  33. Announcements
  34. Comments section and other news
  35. Maximizing your tip as a waiter
  36. Custom errors for cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml
  37. Encoding your categorical variables based on the response variable and correlations
  38. Linear model, xgboost and randomForest cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml
  39. Grid search cross-validation using crossval
  40. Time series cross-validation using crossval
  41. On model specification, identification, degrees of freedom and regularization
  42. Create a specific feed in your Jekyll blog
  43. Git/Github for contributing to package development
  44. Feedback forms for contributing
  45. Change in blog's presentation
  46. test

Python

  1. Survival analysis with sklearn, glmnet, keras, pytorch, lightgbm, xgboost, nnetsauce, mlsauce Part 2
  2. Any Sklearn Regressor as a Survival Model — Does It Actually Work? Benchmarking vs Established Packages
  3. Conformal Optimization Beats Bayesian Optimization, Optuna and Random Search on 72 classification Datasets
  4. Techtonique dot net is down until further notice
  5. Python version of 'Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk Pt.3'
  6. nnetsauce with and without jax for GPU acceleration
  7. Understanding Boosted Configuration Networks (combined neural networks and boosting): An Intuitive Guide Through Their Hyperparameters
  8. R version of Python package survivalist, for model-agnostic survival analysis
  9. Overfitting and scaling (on GPU T4) tests on nnetsauce.CustomRegressor
  10. GPopt for Machine Learning (hyperparameters' tuning)
  11. rtopy: an R to Python bridge -- novelties
  12. Python examples for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'
  13. Finally figured out a way to port python packages to R using uv and reticulate: example with nnetsauce
  14. Overfitting Random Fourier Features: Universal Approximation Property
  15. Zero-Shot Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with TabPFN 2.5 and nnetsauce
  16. Analyzing Paper Reviews with LLMs: I Used ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, Gemini, and Claude (and you should too + publish the analysis)
  17. tisthemachinelearner: New Workflow with uv for R Integration of scikit-learn
  18. (ICYMI) RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv
  19. New instantaneous short rates models with their deterministic shift adjustment, for historical and risk-neutral simulation
  20. RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv
  21. GAN-like Synthetic Data Generation Examples (on univariate, multivariate distributions, digits recognition, Fashion-MNIST, stock returns, and Olivetti faces) with DistroSimulator
  22. Native uncertainty quantification for time series with NGBoost
  23. NGBoost (Natural Gradient Boosting) for Regression, Classification, Time Series forecasting and Reserving
  24. Real-time pricing with a pretrained probabilistic stock return model
  25. Reimagining Equity Solvency Capital Requirement Approximation (one of my Master's Thesis subjects): From Bilinear Interpolation to Probabilistic Machine Learning
  26. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns Pt.2: synthetic data generation
  27. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns
  28. I'm supposed to present 'Conformal Predictive Simulations for Univariate Time Series' at COPA CONFERENCE 2025 in London...
  29. Another interesting decision, now for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'
  30. Boosting any randomized based learner for regression, classification and univariate/multivariate time series forcasting
  31. New nnetsauce version with CustomBackPropRegressor (CustomRegressor with Backpropagation) and ElasticNet2Regressor (Ridge2 with ElasticNet regularization)
  32. mlsauce (home to a model-agnostic gradient boosting algorithm) can now be installed from PyPI.
  33. A user-friendly graphical interface to techtonique dot net's API (will eventually contain graphics).
  34. Calling =TECHTO_MLCLASSIFICATION for Machine Learning supervised CLASSIFICATION in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  35. Calling =TECHTO_MLREGRESSION for Machine Learning supervised regression in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  36. Calling =TECHTO_RESERVING and =TECHTO_MLRESERVING for claims triangle reserving in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  37. Calling =TECHTO_SURVIVAL for Survival Analysis in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  38. Calling =TECHTO_SIMULATION for Stochastic Simulation in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  39. Calling =TECHTO_FORECAST for forecasting in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  40. Random Vector Functional Link (RVFL) artificial neural network with 2 regularization parameters successfully used for forecasting/synthetic simulation in professional settings: Extensions (including Bayesian)
  41. Backpropagating quasi-randomized neural networks
  42. Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging any statistical model for volatility forecasting
  43. An Overfitting dilemma: XGBoost Default Hyperparameters vs GenericBooster + LinearRegression Default Hyperparameters
  44. Free R, Python and SQL editors in techtonique dot net
  45. Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation
  46. scikit-learn, glmnet, xgboost, lightgbm, pytorch, keras, nnetsauce in probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress)
  47. Probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress)
  48. Python version of Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging model-agnostic Quasi-Randomized networks and conformal prediction for nonparametric probabilistic stock forecasting (ML-ARCH)
  49. Permutations and SHAPley values for feature importance in techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line)
  50. Which patient is going to survive longer? Another guide to using techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line) for survival analysis
  51. A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API and rush for simulating and plotting Stochastic Scenarios
  52. Simulating Stochastic Scenarios with Diffusion Models: A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API for the purpose
  53. Will my apartment in 5th avenue be overpriced or not? Harnessing the power of www.techtonique.net (+ xgboost, lightgbm, catboost) to find out
  54. How long must I wait until something happens: A Comprehensive Guide to Survival Analysis via an API
  55. Harnessing the Power of techtonique.net: A Comprehensive Guide to Machine Learning Classification via an API
  56. Quantile regression with any regressor -- Examples with RandomForestRegressor, RidgeCV, KNeighborsRegressor
  57. Survival stacking: survival analysis translated as supervised classification in R and Python
  58. Extending the Theta forecasting method to GLMs and attention
  59. Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (predictive simulations) in Microsoft Excel using Python, xlwings lite and www.techtonique.net
  60. My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance
  61. Word-Online: re-creating Karpathy's char-RNN (with supervised linear online learning of word embeddings) for text completion
  62. Presenting 'Online Probabilistic Estimation of Carbon Beta and Carbon Shapley Values for Financial and Climate Risk' at Institut Louis Bachelier
  63. Web app with DeepSeek R1 and Hugging Face API for chatting
  64. tisthemachinelearner: A Lightweight interface to scikit-learn with 2 classes, Classifier and Regressor (in Python and R)
  65. Model-agnostic global Survival Prediction of Patients with Myeloid Leukemia in QRT/Gustave Roussy Challenge (challengedata.ens.fr): Python's survivalist Quickstart
  66. Command Line Interface (CLI) for techtonique.net's API
  67. Gradient-Boosting and Boostrap aggregating anything (alert: high performance): Part5, easier install and Rust backend
  68. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on? Part2: 1311 time series from the Tourism competition
  69. Techtonique is out! (with a tutorial in various programming languages and formats)
  70. Univariate and Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting with nnetsauce and TabPFN
  71. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on?
  72. Python and Interactive dashboard version of Stock price forecasting with Deep Learning: throwing power at the problem (and why it won't make you rich)
  73. No-code Machine Learning Cross-validation and Interpretability in techtonique.net
  74. survivalist: Probabilistic model-agnostic survival analysis using scikit-learn, glmnet, xgboost, lightgbm, pytorch, keras, nnetsauce and mlsauce
  75. Model-agnostic 'Bayesian' optimization (for hyperparameter tuning) using conformalized surrogates in GPopt
  76. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS Pt.2: Generic Gradient Boosting
  77. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS
  78. GLMNet in Python: Generalized Linear Models
  79. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part4, Time series forecasting
  80. Predictive scenarios simulation in R, Python and Excel using Techtonique API
  81. Chat with your tabular data in www.techtonique.net
  82. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part3, Histogram-based boosting
  83. R editor and SQL console (in addition to Python editors) in www.techtonique.net
  84. R and Python consoles + JupyterLite in www.techtonique.net
  85. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance)
  86. Benchmarking 30 statistical/Machine Learning models on the VN1 Forecasting -- Accuracy challenge
  87. Forecasting in Excel using Techtonique's Machine Learning APIs under the hood
  88. Techtonique web app for data-driven decisions using Mathematics, Statistics, Machine Learning, and Data Visualization
  89. Parallel for loops (Map or Reduce) + New versions of nnetsauce and ahead
  90. Adaptive (online/streaming) learning with uncertainty quantification using Polyak averaging in learningmachine
  91. New versions of nnetsauce and ahead
  92. Prediction sets and prediction intervals for conformalized Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting
  93. Conformalized adaptive (online/streaming) learning using learningmachine in Python and R
  94. Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting
  95. Copulas for uncertainty quantification in time series forecasting
  96. Forecasting uncertainty: sequential split conformal prediction + Block bootstrap (web app)
  97. learningmachine for Python (new version)
  98. My presentation at ISF 2024 conference (slides with nnetsauce probabilistic forecasting news)
  99. 10 uncertainty quantification methods in nnetsauce forecasting
  100. Forecasting with XGBoost embedded in Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  101. Forecasting Monthly Airline Passenger Numbers with Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  102. Automated hyperparameter tuning using any conformalized surrogate
  103. Recognizing handwritten digits with Ridge2Classifier
  104. A detailed introduction to Deep Quasi-Randomized 'neural' networks
  105. Probability of receiving a loan; using learningmachine
  106. mlsauce's `v0.18.2`: various examples and benchmarks with dimension reduction
  107. mlsauce's `v0.17.0`: boosting with Elastic Net, polynomials and heterogeneity in explanatory variables
  108. mlsauce's `v0.13.0`: taking into account inputs heterogeneity through clustering
  109. mlsauce's `v0.12.0`: prediction intervals for LSBoostRegressor
  110. learningmachine v1.1.2: for Python
  111. Bayesian inference and conformal prediction (prediction intervals) in nnetsauce v0.18.1
  112. rtopy (v0.1.1): calling R functions in Python
  113. ahead forecasting (v0.10.0): fast time series model calibration and Python plots
  114. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part3: how many times do couples cheat on each other?
  115. nnetsauce's introduction as of 2024-02-11 (new version 0.17.0)
  116. Tuning Machine Learning models with GPopt's new version Part 2
  117. Tuning Machine Learning models with GPopt's new version
  118. Subsampling continuous and discrete response variables
  119. DeepMTS, a Deep Learning Model for Multivariate Time Series
  120. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep) Pt.2: there are > 90 classifiers in nnetsauce
  121. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part2: how many times do couples cheat on each other? Descriptive analytics, interpretability and prediction intervals using conformal prediction
  122. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit (Part2)
  123. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit
  124. Quasi-randomized nnetworks in Julia, Python and R
  125. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips
  126. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep)
  127. mlsauce version 0.8.10: Statistical/Machine Learning with Python and R
  128. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks) Pt.2: multivariate time series forecasting
  129. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks)
  130. Version v0.14.0 of nnetsauce for R and Python
  131. An infinity of time series forecasting models in nnetsauce (Part 2 with uncertainty quantification)
  132. (News from) forecasting in Python with ahead (progress bars and plots)
  133. Forecasting in Python with ahead
  134. Did you ask ChatGPT about who you are?
  135. A new version of nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized 'neural' networks)
  136. Simple interfaces to the forecasting API
  137. A web application for forecasting in Python, R, Ruby, C#, JavaScript, PHP, Go, Rust, Java, MATLAB, etc.
  138. Prediction intervals (not only) for Boosted Configuration Networks in Python
  139. A Machine Learning workflow using Techtonique
  140. Super Mario Bros © in the browser using PyScript
  141. News from ESGtoolkit, ycinterextra, and nnetsauce
  142. Explaining a Keras _neural_ network predictions with the-teller
  143. New version of nnetsauce -- various quasi-randomized networks
  144. A dashboard illustrating bivariate time series forecasting with `ahead`
  145. Forecasting with `ahead` (Python version)
  146. Tuning and interpreting LSBoost
  147. Classification using linear regression
  148. Documentation and source code for GPopt, a package for Bayesian optimization
  149. Hyperparameters tuning with GPopt
  150. A forecasting tool (API) with examples in curl, R, Python
  151. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt Part 2 (save and resume)
  152. Bayesian Optimization with GPopt
  153. Compatibility of nnetsauce and mlsauce with scikit-learn
  154. Explaining xgboost predictions with the teller
  155. An infinity of time series models in nnetsauce
  156. 2020 recap, Gradient Boosting, Generalized Linear Models, AdaOpt with nnetsauce and mlsauce
  157. A deeper learning architecture in nnetsauce
  158. Generalized nonlinear models in nnetsauce
  159. Boosting nonlinear penalized least squares
  160. Technical documentation
  161. A new version of nnetsauce, and a new Techtonique website
  162. Back next week, and a few announcements
  163. Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks Pt2 (the Lasso)
  164. LSBoost: Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks (with examples in R and Python)
  165. nnetsauce version 0.5.0, randomized neural networks on GPU
  166. Maximizing your tip as a waiter (Part 2)
  167. Parallel AdaOpt classification
  168. Maximizing your tip as a waiter
  169. AdaOpt classification on MNIST handwritten digits (without preprocessing)
  170. AdaOpt
  171. Documentation+Pypi for the `teller`, a model-agnostic tool for Machine Learning explainability
  172. Encoding your categorical variables based on the response variable and correlations
  173. Documentation for the querier, a query language for Data Frames
  174. Import data into the querier (now on Pypi), a query language for Data Frames
  175. Version 0.4.0 of nnetsauce, with fruits and breast cancer classification
  176. A new version of nnetsauce (v0.3.1)
  177. Using R in Python for statistical learning/data science
  178. nnetsauce on Pypi

QuasiRandomizedNN

  1. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part4, Time series forecasting
  2. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part3, Histogram-based boosting
  3. My presentation at ISF 2024 conference (slides with nnetsauce probabilistic forecasting news)
  4. 10 uncertainty quantification methods in nnetsauce forecasting
  5. Forecasting with XGBoost embedded in Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  6. Forecasting Monthly Airline Passenger Numbers with Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks
  7. Automated hyperparameter tuning using any conformalized surrogate
  8. Recognizing handwritten digits with Ridge2Classifier
  9. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part3: how many times do couples cheat on each other?
  10. nnetsauce's introduction as of 2024-02-11 (new version 0.17.0)
  11. DeepMTS, a Deep Learning Model for Multivariate Time Series
  12. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep) Pt.2: there are > 90 classifiers in nnetsauce
  13. Quasi-randomized nnetworks in Julia, Python and R
  14. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep)
  15. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks) Pt.2: multivariate time series forecasting
  16. AutoML in nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized nnetworks)
  17. Version v0.14.0 of nnetsauce for R and Python
  18. An infinity of time series forecasting models in nnetsauce (Part 2 with uncertainty quantification)
  19. A new version of nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized 'neural' networks)
  20. New version of nnetsauce -- various quasi-randomized networks
  21. Tuning and interpreting LSBoost
  22. Classification using linear regression
  23. An infinity of time series models in nnetsauce
  24. A deeper learning architecture in nnetsauce
  25. Classify penguins with nnetsauce's MultitaskClassifier
  26. Bayesian forecasting for uni/multivariate time series
  27. New nnetsauce
  28. Technical documentation
  29. A new version of nnetsauce, and a new Techtonique website
  30. Back next week, and a few announcements
  31. nnetsauce version 0.5.0, randomized neural networks on GPU
  32. R notebooks for nnetsauce
  33. Version 0.4.0 of nnetsauce, with fruits and breast cancer classification
  34. Feedback forms for contributing
  35. nnetsauce for R
  36. A new version of nnetsauce (v0.3.1)
  37. 2019 Recap, the nnetsauce, the teller and the querier
  38. Prediction intervals for nnetsauce models
  39. Bagging in the nnetsauce
  40. Adaboost learning with nnetsauce
  41. nnetsauce on Pypi
  42. More nnetsauce (examples of use)
  43. nnetsauce

R

  1. `mlS3` — A Unified S3 Machine Learning Interface in R
  2. One interface, (Almost) Every Classifier: unifiedml v0.2.1
  3. Techtonique dot net is down until further notice
  4. Explaining Time-Series Forecasts with Sensitivity Analysis (ahead::dynrmf and external regressors)
  5. Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk Pt.3
  6. Explaining Time-Series Forecasts with Exact Shapley Values (ahead::dynrmf with external regressors applied to scenarios)
  7. My Presentation at Risk 2026: Lightweight Transfer Learning for Financial Forecasting
  8. nnetsauce with and without jax for GPU acceleration
  9. Understanding Boosted Configuration Networks (combined neural networks and boosting): An Intuitive Guide Through Their Hyperparameters
  10. R version of Python package survivalist, for model-agnostic survival analysis
  11. Presenting Lightweight Transfer Learning for Financial Forecasting (Risk 2026)
  12. Option pricing using time series models as market price of risk
  13. Enhancing Time Series Forecasting (ahead::ridge2f) with Attention-Based Context Vectors (ahead::contextridge2f)
  14. Beyond Cross-validation: Hyperparameter Optimization via Generalization Gap Modeling
  15. rtopy: an R to Python bridge -- novelties
  16. Python examples for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'
  17. Forecasting benchmark: Dynrmf (a new serious competitor in town) vs Theta Method on M-Competitions and Tourism competitition
  18. Finally figured out a way to port python packages to R using uv and reticulate: example with nnetsauce
  19. Overfitting Random Fourier Features: Universal Approximation Property
  20. Counterfactual Scenario Analysis with ahead::ridge2f
  21. ARIMA Pricing: Semi-Parametric Market price of risk for Risk-Neutral Pricing (code + preprint)
  22. Analyzing Paper Reviews with LLMs: I Used ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, Gemini, and Claude (and you should too + publish the analysis)
  23. tisthemachinelearner: New Workflow with uv for R Integration of scikit-learn
  24. (ICYMI) RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv
  25. unifiedml: A Unified Machine Learning Interface for R, is now on CRAN + Discussion about AI replacing humans
  26. Context-aware Theta forecasting Method: Extending Classical Time Series Forecasting with Machine Learning
  27. unifiedml in R: A Unified Machine Learning Interface
  28. Deterministic Shift Adjustment in Arbitrage-Free Pricing (historical to risk-neutral short rates)
  29. New instantaneous short rates models with their deterministic shift adjustment, for historical and risk-neutral simulation
  30. RPweave: Unified R + Python + LaTeX System using uv
  31. GAN-like Synthetic Data Generation Examples (on univariate, multivariate distributions, digits recognition, Fashion-MNIST, stock returns, and Olivetti faces) with DistroSimulator
  32. R port of llama2.c
  33. Native uncertainty quantification for time series with NGBoost
  34. Real-time pricing with a pretrained probabilistic stock return model
  35. Combining any model with GARCH(1,1) for probabilistic stock forecasting
  36. Generating Synthetic Data with R-vine Copulas using esgtoolkit in R
  37. Reimagining Equity Solvency Capital Requirement Approximation (one of my Master's Thesis subjects): From Bilinear Interpolation to Probabilistic Machine Learning
  38. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns Pt.2: synthetic data generation
  39. Transfer Learning using ahead::ridge2f on synthetic stocks returns
  40. I'm supposed to present 'Conformal Predictive Simulations for Univariate Time Series' at COPA CONFERENCE 2025 in London...
  41. external regressors in ahead::dynrmf's interface for Machine learning forecasting
  42. Another interesting decision, now for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'
  43. A user-friendly graphical interface to techtonique dot net's API (will eventually contain graphics).
  44. Calling =TECHTO_MLCLASSIFICATION for Machine Learning supervised CLASSIFICATION in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  45. Calling =TECHTO_MLREGRESSION for Machine Learning supervised regression in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  46. Calling =TECHTO_RESERVING and =TECHTO_MLRESERVING for claims triangle reserving in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  47. Calling =TECHTO_SURVIVAL for Survival Analysis in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  48. Calling =TECHTO_SIMULATION for Stochastic Simulation in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  49. Calling =TECHTO_FORECAST for forecasting in Excel is just a matter of copying and pasting
  50. Random Vector Functional Link (RVFL) artificial neural network with 2 regularization parameters successfully used for forecasting/synthetic simulation in professional settings: Extensions (including Bayesian)
  51. R version of 'Backpropagating quasi-randomized neural networks'
  52. Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging any statistical model for volatility forecasting
  53. Stacked generalization (Machine Learning model stacking) + conformal prediction for forecasting with ahead::mlf
  54. Programming language-agnostic reserving using RidgeCV, LightGBM, XGBoost, and ExtraTrees Machine Learning models
  55. Free R, Python and SQL editors in techtonique dot net
  56. Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model-agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation
  57. R version of Probabilistic Machine Learning (for longitudinal data) Reserving (work in progress)
  58. Beyond ARMA-GARCH: leveraging model-agnostic Machine Learning and conformal prediction for nonparametric probabilistic stock forecasting (ML-ARCH)
  59. Permutations and SHAPley values for feature importance in techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line)
  60. Which patient is going to survive longer? Another guide to using techtonique dot net's API (with R + Python + the command line) for survival analysis
  61. A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API and rush for simulating and plotting Stochastic Scenarios
  62. Simulating Stochastic Scenarios with Diffusion Models: A Guide to Using techtonique.net's API for the purpose
  63. Will my apartment in 5th avenue be overpriced or not? Harnessing the power of www.techtonique.net (+ xgboost, lightgbm, catboost) to find out
  64. How long must I wait until something happens: A Comprehensive Guide to Survival Analysis via an API
  65. Harnessing the Power of techtonique.net: A Comprehensive Guide to Machine Learning Classification via an API
  66. Quantile regression with any regressor -- Examples with RandomForestRegressor, RidgeCV, KNeighborsRegressor
  67. Survival stacking: survival analysis translated as supervised classification in R and Python
  68. 'Bayesian' optimization of hyperparameters in a R machine learning model using the bayesianrvfl package
  69. A lightweight interface to scikit-learn in R: Bayesian and Conformal prediction
  70. A lightweight interface to scikit-learn in R Pt.2: probabilistic time series forecasting in conjunction with ahead::dynrmf
  71. Extending the Theta forecasting method to GLMs, GAMs, GLMBOOST and attention: benchmarking on Tourism, M1, M3 and M4 competition data sets (28000 series)
  72. Extending the Theta forecasting method to GLMs and attention
  73. Nonlinear conformalized Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with R package 'rvfl' (and other models)
  74. Conformalize (improved prediction intervals and simulations) any R Machine Learning model with misc::conformalize
  75. My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance
  76. Interpretable probabilistic kernel ridge regression using Matérn 3/2 kernels
  77. (News from) Probabilistic Forecasting of univariate and multivariate Time Series using Quasi-Randomized Neural Networks (Ridge2) and Conformal Prediction
  78. Word-Online: re-creating Karpathy's char-RNN (with supervised linear online learning of word embeddings) for text completion
  79. CRAN-like repository for most recent releases of Techtonique's R packages
  80. Presenting 'Online Probabilistic Estimation of Carbon Beta and Carbon Shapley Values for Financial and Climate Risk' at Institut Louis Bachelier
  81. Web app with DeepSeek R1 and Hugging Face API for chatting
  82. tisthemachinelearner: A Lightweight interface to scikit-learn with 2 classes, Classifier and Regressor (in Python and R)
  83. R version of survivalist: Probabilistic model-agnostic survival analysis using scikit-learn, xgboost, lightgbm (and conformal prediction)
  84. A simple test of the martingale hypothesis in esgtoolkit
  85. Command Line Interface (CLI) for techtonique.net's API
  86. Gradient-Boosting and Boostrap aggregating anything (alert: high performance): Part5, easier install and Rust backend
  87. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on? Part2: 1311 time series from the Tourism competition
  88. Techtonique is out! (with a tutorial in various programming languages and formats)
  89. Just got a paper on conformal prediction REJECTED by International Journal of Forecasting despite evidence on 30,000 time series (and more). What's going on?
  90. Stock price forecasting with Deep Learning: throwing power at the problem (and why it won't make you rich)
  91. No-code Machine Learning Cross-validation and Interpretability in techtonique.net
  92. You can beat Forecasting LLMs (Large Language Models a.k.a foundation models) with nnetsauce.MTS
  93. Unified interface and conformal prediction (calibrated prediction intervals) for R package forecast (and 'affiliates')
  94. GLMNet in Python: Generalized Linear Models
  95. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part4, Time series forecasting
  96. Predictive scenarios simulation in R, Python and Excel using Techtonique API
  97. Chat with your tabular data in www.techtonique.net
  98. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part3, Histogram-based boosting
  99. R editor and SQL console (in addition to Python editors) in www.techtonique.net
  100. R and Python consoles + JupyterLite in www.techtonique.net
  101. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance): Part2, R version
  102. Gradient-Boosting anything (alert: high performance)
  103. Automated random variable distribution inference using Kullback-Leibler divergence and simulating best-fitting distribution
  104. Techtonique web app for data-driven decisions using Mathematics, Statistics, Machine Learning, and Data Visualization
  105. Parallel for loops (Map or Reduce) + New versions of nnetsauce and ahead
  106. Adaptive (online/streaming) learning with uncertainty quantification using Polyak averaging in learningmachine
  107. New versions of nnetsauce and ahead
  108. Prediction sets and prediction intervals for conformalized Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting
  109. Quick/automated R package development workflow (assuming you're using macOS or Linux) Part2
  110. R package development workflow (assuming you're using macOS or Linux)
  111. A new method for deriving a nonparametric confidence interval for the mean
  112. Conformalized adaptive (online/streaming) learning using learningmachine in Python and R
  113. Bayesian (nonlinear) adaptive learning
  114. Auto XGBoost, Auto LightGBM, Auto CatBoost, Auto GradientBoosting
  115. Forecasting uncertainty: sequential split conformal prediction + Block bootstrap (web app)
  116. learningmachine v2.0.0: Machine Learning with explanations and uncertainty quantification
  117. Forecasting the Economy
  118. A detailed introduction to Deep Quasi-Randomized 'neural' networks
  119. Probability of receiving a loan; using learningmachine
  120. mlsauce's `v0.18.2`: various examples and benchmarks with dimension reduction
  121. Conformalized predictive simulations for univariate time series on more than 250 data sets
  122. learningmachine v1.0.0: prediction intervals around the probability of the event 'a tumor being malignant'
  123. Multiple examples of Machine Learning forecasting with ahead
  124. rtopy (v0.1.1): calling R functions in Python
  125. ahead forecasting (v0.10.0): fast time series model calibration and Python plots
  126. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep) Pt.2: there are > 90 classifiers in nnetsauce
  127. learningmachine: prediction intervals for conformalized Kernel ridge regression and Random Forest
  128. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips Part2: how many times do couples cheat on each other? Descriptive analytics, interpretability and prediction intervals using conformal prediction
  129. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit (Part2)
  130. Diffusion models in Python with esgtoolkit
  131. Quasi-randomized nnetworks in Julia, Python and R
  132. A plethora of datasets at your fingertips
  133. A classifier that's very accurate (and deep)
  134. mlsauce version 0.8.10: Statistical/Machine Learning with Python and R
  135. Version v0.14.0 of nnetsauce for R and Python
  136. A diffusion model: G2++
  137. Diffusion models in ESGtoolkit + announcements
  138. Risk-neutralize simulations
  139. Comparing cross-validation results using crossval_ml and boxplots
  140. Did you ask ChatGPT about who you are?
  141. A new version of nnetsauce (randomized and quasi-randomized 'neural' networks)
  142. Simple interfaces to the forecasting API
  143. A web application for forecasting in Python, R, Ruby, C#, JavaScript, PHP, Go, Rust, Java, MATLAB, etc.
  144. Boosted Configuration (neural) Networks Pt. 2
  145. Boosted Configuration (_neural_) Networks for classification
  146. News from ESGtoolkit, ycinterextra, and nnetsauce
  147. New version of nnetsauce -- various quasi-randomized networks
  148. A dashboard illustrating bivariate time series forecasting with `ahead`
  149. Hundreds of Statistical/Machine Learning models for univariate time series, using ahead, ranger, xgboost, and caret
  150. Time series cross-validation using `crossvalidation` (Part 2)
  151. Fast and scalable forecasting with ahead::ridge2f
  152. Automatic Forecasting with `ahead::dynrmf` and Ridge regression
  153. Forecasting with `ahead`
  154. `crossvalidation` and random search for calibrating support vector machines
  155. parallel grid search cross-validation using `crossvalidation`
  156. `crossvalidation` on R-universe, plus a classification example
  157. A forecasting tool (API) with examples in curl, R, Python
  158. An infinity of time series models in nnetsauce
  159. New activation functions in mlsauce's LSBoost
  160. 2020 recap, Gradient Boosting, Generalized Linear Models, AdaOpt with nnetsauce and mlsauce
  161. Classify penguins with nnetsauce's MultitaskClassifier
  162. Bayesian forecasting for uni/multivariate time series
  163. Boosting nonlinear penalized least squares
  164. Statistical/Machine Learning explainability using Kernel Ridge Regression surrogates
  165. Submitting R package to CRAN
  166. Simulation of dependent variables in ESGtoolkit
  167. Forecasting lung disease progression
  168. Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks Pt2 (the Lasso)
  169. LSBoost: Explainable 'AI' using Gradient Boosted randomized networks (with examples in R and Python)
  170. nnetsauce version 0.5.0, randomized neural networks on GPU
  171. Maximizing your tip as a waiter (Part 2)
  172. Maximizing your tip as a waiter
  173. AdaOpt classification on MNIST handwritten digits (without preprocessing)
  174. AdaOpt (a probabilistic classifier based on a mix of multivariable optimization and nearest neighbors) for R
  175. Custom errors for cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml
  176. Encoding your categorical variables based on the response variable and correlations
  177. Linear model, xgboost and randomForest cross-validation using crossval::crossval_ml
  178. Grid search cross-validation using crossval
  179. Time series cross-validation using crossval
  180. On model specification, identification, degrees of freedom and regularization
  181. R notebooks for nnetsauce
  182. Version 0.4.0 of nnetsauce, with fruits and breast cancer classification
  183. Feedback forms for contributing
  184. nnetsauce for R
  185. ESGtoolkit, a tool for Monte Carlo simulation (v0.2.0)
  186. Using R in Python for statistical learning/data science
  187. Model calibration with `crossval`
  188. crossval